How many parameters? p(x1): 1 parameter p(x2∣x1): 2 parameters (p(x2∣x1=0) and p(x2∣x1=1)) p(x3∣x1,x2): 4 parameters Hence, 1+2+22+⋯+2n−1=2n−1, which is the same as before.
Bayes rule:
p(x∣y)=p(y)p(x,y)=p(y)p(y∣x)p(x)
Conditional independence:
ifx⊥y,thenp(x∣y,z)=p(x∣z)
Now, suppose Xi+1⊥X1,…,Xi−1∣Xi (Markov assumption), then